contentSlug

type

ContentSlug_ContentQuery

slug

ContentPageContentQuery

content

trendingContent

query ContentSlug_ContentQuery(
  $contentSlug: String!
  $type: [ContentType!]
) {
  ...ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO
}

fragment CompanyDetails_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment ContentBasicInfo on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  type
  title
  lang
  companies {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  tags {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  ...PublishingDetails
  ...Reactions
}

fragment ContentMetadata on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  title
  lang
  pageUrl
  alternatePageUrls: translations {
    __typename
    pageUrl
    lang
  }
  imgUrl
  description
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
}

fragment ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO on Query {
  content(slug: $contentSlug, type: $type) {
    __typename
    id
    type
    title
    isPremium
    lang
    htmlBody
    summary
    companies {
      forum {
        latestPosts {
          ...ForumPosts
        }
      }
      name
      id
      viewerIsFollowing
      pageUrl
      defaultInstrument {
        isin
        id
        marketOpen
        marketClose
        marketplace {
          region
        }
        returns {
          total
        }
      }
    }
    tags {
      viewerIsFollowing
      id
      name
      pageUrl
    }
    createdAt
    ... on Video {
      liveTime
    }
    ... on Webcast {
      liveTime
    }
    slug
    ... on CompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on StockExchangeRelease {
      reportUrl
    }
    ...ContentBasicInfo
    ...ContentMetadata
    ...PriceAndRecommendation_Content
    ...CompanyDetails_Content
    ...ReportLink_Content
    ...KeyFigures_Content
  }
  ...TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn
}

fragment ForumPosts on ForumPost {
  text
  likesCount
  url
  author
  postedAt
  authorImgUrl
}

fragment KeyFigures_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        transaction {
          date
          actualized {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
          estimates {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PriceAndRecommendation_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        priceData {
          date
          lastPrice
          tradeCurrency
        }
        transaction {
          date
          recommendation
          targetPrice
        }
        prevTransaction {
          recommendation
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PublishingDetails on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  publishers {
    name
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    slug
    imgUrl
    jobTitle
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ReportLink_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  isPremium
  ... on CompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on StockExchangeRelease {
    reportUrl
  }
}

fragment TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn on Query {
  trendingContent(type: ARTICLE) {
    __typename
    id
    title
    lang
    pageUrl
    createdAt
    type
    imgUrl
    companies {
      squareLogoUrl
      name
      id
    }
    authors {
      __typename
      imgUrl
      id
    }
    publishers {
      imgUrl
    }
  }
}


nokia-market-situation-forces-defensive-positions

__typename

title

isPremium

lang

htmlBody

summary

companies

createdAt

publishers

authors

reactionGroups

pageUrl

translations

imgUrl

description

Analyst

Atte Riikola

Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

https://www.nokia.com/blog/2025-optical-transformation-coffee-and-ai/ The year 2025 has been a turning point for Nokia’s optical networks, especially thanks to the Infinera merger and the demand surge created by artificial intelligence (AI). Coherent Pluggable Modules (800G ZR/ZR+) 2025 was the breakthrough year for 800G pluggable modules. They are no longer just speed upgrades, but are changing network architecture:  Multi-haul performance: For the first time, pluggable modules (such as Nokia’s ICE-X) are able to cover almost all network needs: 800G speeds reach 1,700 kilometers and lower speeds even over 5,000 kilometers. Explosive market growth: Demand forecasts have more than doubled during the year. Deliveries of over 100,000 units are expected in 2026, with the goal of exceeding one million units by 2030.   Throughout the year, multiple industry analysts more than doubled their forecasts to reflect the growing demand. Analyst projections now show a rapid ramp – growing from several thousand units in 2025 to more than 100,000 units in 2026 and exceeding 1 million by 2030. Vendors are updating their supply chain, processes and partnerships to deliver the production capacity required to support this rapid growth.  Thin Transponders “Thin transponders” emerged as a key topic of discussion in 2025, offering a middle ground between traditional optics and direct router integration:  Use case: They enable the benefits of pluggable modules (such as 800G ZR/ZR+) for operators for whom direct IPoDWDM (optics directly in the router) is not suitable for operational reasons. Benefits: They save up to 50% space and 40% power compared to traditional embedded transponders, while maintaining optical network manageability and security features (e.g., encryption).  “Scale Across” – A New Dimension of AI DCI (Data Center Interconnect) has been joined by a new architecture called Scale Across:  Why: Individual data centers are running out of space and power (e.g., with the goal of million-GPU clusters). What: Scale across connects geographically distributed GPU clusters into a single unified computing resource. This requires extremely low latency and high-capacity optical links, where 800G pluggables play a critical role.  Optical Line Systems (OLS) and Automation  Multi-fiber OLS: Hundreds, even over 1,000 fiber pairs are now being installed between data centers at once. Line systems must evolve to support multiple fibers in the same physical size (e.g., multi-rail OLS). AI automation: AI is now being used for predictive maintenance and troubleshooting, helping operators move from reactive operations to proactive network management.  In summary: Nokia’s (and Infinera’s) focus has shifted strongly toward AI-driven optical infrastructure, where 800G pluggable modules and new “thin transponder” solutions enable massive scalability with lower power consumption.

Nokia had over 70% market share in Indonesia (all operators) about 15 years ago. Today’s figure is less than 20%. With the largest operator, Telkomsel, the share is 0% (it was 70%).  AI-RAN plans strongly resemble Indonesia’s 5G and mmW plans just under ten years ago and 4G plans about twenty years ago. The plans were great, but the reality 10 years later is that the 5G share is about 5-10% and the 4G share is slightly over 90%. According to the 4G plans, 2G was supposed to be shut down in 2010 – 20 years later, it is still in operation. But this is history and now, of course, everything is different. In a few years, we will be marveling at case studies on how a nationwide AI-RAN network was built with a 3 USD ARPU.

The country has 280 million inhabitants, Jakarta is the world’s largest city, 42 million. The potential is huge. On the other hand, over 17,000 islands, which is a completely different market. Nokia seems to have made some deals there.

Kompromissi. Meet me in a halfway. Acer, Asus and Hisense win UK court ruling in video streaming patent dispute with Nokia Dec 18, 2025, 16:51 GMT+2Refinitiv1 min read Taiwanese tech companies Acer 2353 and Asus 2357 and China-based Hisense 600060 won a ruling from London’s High Court on Thursday in their global patent dispute with Nokia NOKIA over video coding technology. The three companies obtained a declaration that a willing licensor in Nokia’s position would agree to an interim licence until the “reasonable and non-discriminatory” terms of a patent licence were decided by the court. Judge James Mellor said the interim licence would require Acer, Asus and Hisense to pay Nokia $0.365 per device sold, more than the $0.03 per unit proposed by Acer and Asus but less than the $0.69 sought by Nokia.

Yeah, time will tell. Though I think the CEO at least implies that more would happen.   I think that statement means that 55,000 base stations will be equipped with Nvidia’s computing power.

I wonder if it’s so-called image marketing. I would be surprised if even 5% of the sites in Indonesia were Nvidia AI-RAN sites by 2032.

I suppose this is a good thing too, the API side and “monetization” will increase for operators so they invest more, and a stream in between for Nokia                   Yahoo Finance              French telecom operator Free joins Nokia’s Network as Code API ecosystem    French telecom operator Free joins Nokia’s Network as Code API ecosystem Nokia’s Network as Code platform enables secure, standardized access for developers and enterprises to leverage Free’s advanced network capabilities. 18 December 2025 Espoo,...

Nokia

Nokia's market situation has continued to deteriorate, and the company will have to make significant cost savings in the coming years to defend its profitability. With a declining earnings trend, it is difficult to see any material upside to the share's low valuation multiples and future restructuring costs will erode free cash flow in the coming years.

<p>Nokia's market situation has continued to deteriorate, and the company will have to make significant cost savings in the coming years to defend its profitability. With a declining earnings trend, it is difficult to see any material upside to the share's low valuation multiples and future restructuring costs will erode free cash flow in the coming years. The company should still be able to generate a reasonably good cash flow in the coming years, which will be returned to shareholders. However, relying on this alone does not provide a sufficiently attractive expected return. </p> 

	2022	23e	24e
Revenue	24,911.0	23,214.5	22,403.5
growth-%	12.2 %	-6.8 %	-3.5 %
EBIT (adj.)	3,109.0	2,723.8	2,522.7
EBIT-% (adj.)	12.5 %	11.7 %	11.3 %
EPS (adj.)	0.44	0.35	0.33
Dividend	0.12	0.16	0.18
Dividend %	2.8 %	2.9 %	3.3 %
P/E (adj.)	9.9	15.6	16.4
EV/EBITDA	6.2	8.5	10.0

Nokia: Market situation forces to defensive positions

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Key Estimate Figures19.10.2023

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