Telia: Operator business is performing, TV and Media weighs down
Telia's Q2 was operationally good and in line with expectations, but the lower earnings lines missed expectations. As expected, the company reiterated its guidance, but commented that cash flow was at the lower end of the guidance range, leaving clear room for improvement in H2. The cash flow is not sufficient to cover the dividend, but the company is again prepared to stick to its dividend policy, which is not sustainable in the longer term. We anticipate that the expected return will mainly rely on the dividend (8%). The valuation picture for the stock (2023e P/E 19x and EV/EBIT 16x) is neutral and uncertainty around the cash flow guidance keeps us cautious.
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Telia Company
Telia Company is active in the telecom sector. The company delivers a wide range of services within voice, IP and capacity services, mainly through wholly-owned international carrier networks. The customers are found among private customers and corporate customers. Most of the business is done in the Nordic countries, the Baltics, and Europe. The company was formed by a merger of Telia and Sonera. The head office is located in Solna.
Read more on company pageKey Estimate Figures20.07.2023
2022 | 23e | 24e | |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 90,827.3 | 94,823.6 | 97,697.6 |
growth-% | 2.81 % | 4.40 % | 3.03 % |
EBIT (adj.) | 11,310.3 | 10,919.2 | 12,180.6 |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 12.45 % | 11.52 % | 12.47 % |
EPS (adj.) | 0.53 | 1.30 | 1.59 |
Dividend | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.05 |
Dividend % | 7.50 % | 6.39 % | 6.55 % |
P/E (adj.) | 50.27 | 24.06 | 19.66 |
EV/EBITDA | 6.27 | 7.08 | 6.89 |